Optimal DraftKings Lineup for the NFL Divisional Round Millionaire Maker

Strategy in the Millionaire Maker is much different than head-to-heads and 50-50s.  Every single millionaire winner in this tournament has a player on the roster that makes you scratch your head and say, “how could he have possibly clicked on his name?!”  With that being said, contrarian picks are vital to cashing in this tournament.  Contrarian picks go like this: I expect this player to be extremely high owned, so I am going to pick so-and-so, not only because he will be lower owned, but also because you think he will perform well.  There are a few examples below.  I have listed the players in my Millionaire Maker lineup that I have submitted to DraftKings with some insight of why I picked each player.  I hope this helps, and more importantly, GOOD LUCK!

QB

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This is mainly a contrarian play.   I am predicting Carson Palmer will be the most owned QB in this tournament with over 50% ownership for two reasons.  One, the Cardinals destroyed the Packers back in week 16, and two is a little more obvious; he is a very good player with great weapons surrounding him.  With the projected total being 49 according to Pinnacle Sports, the game is bound to be a shootout.  It seems Rodgers found his mojo against the Redskins last week with the up-tempo offense, and if the Packers want to win this weekend, Rodgers will have to do a lot with his arm.

RBs

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12 touches, 127 yards and a touchdown.  Those are David Johnson’s stats in the first game against the Packers when he sat out most of the 4th quarter due to the lopsided score.  I expect Johnson to benefit from the game being much closer this time around since he will be on the field the whole game.  He should see at least 20 touches against a porous Packers’ defense.  He will most likely be the most owned player in the tournament, and if you fade him, realize that you are taking a huge risk.  He should, arguably, be the most expensive running back on the slate due to his huge workload.  With that being said, play David Johnson at $6,000.

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The Broncos are definitely not the most ideal matchup for the namely Fitzgerald Toussaint.  For the same reason I like the Broncos defense, I like Toussaint.  Big Ben most likely wont be able to be able to chuck the ball downfield so he will have to rely on his checkdown, which will be Fitz.  He will also carry most of the work from Pittsburgh’s backfield after piling up 118 yards on 21 touches (5 receptions) against the stout Bengals defense last week.  I expect Toussaint to see the same amount of work, and with such a depleted running back position, he is one of the few left who isn’t in a 50-50 split with another player.

WRs

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Randall Cobb looked like himself again in Washington last Sunday.  He was the electric, versatile player we once all knew.  He lined up all over the field.  He had 3 catches on 8 targets and 5 carries from the backfield.  He didn’t quite produce the numbers we may like, but the workload is there.  The fact that he will get carries from the backfield makes him that much of a better play.  Expect Patrick Peterson to follow Cobb around the field for most of the game, but he can’t follow him into the backfield where he is most dangerous.  This is also considered a pivot from James Jones.  Recency bias will have James Jones, most likely, being the highest owned wideout from Green Bay, and pivoting to Cobb is a good contrarian for tournaments.

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I do not like to follow narratives, but Demaryius Thomas’ mother may get to watch him play football for the first time in her life, just a little something to chew on.  With Peyton Manning and a fresh arm back under center, I expect DT to produce huge numbers.  He has accrued 12 or more targets in the last 3 games, and the Steelers’ pass defense is 31st in DVP.  I expect Demaryius to have at least 10 targets, which is quite a bit for a guy who has the chance to turn nothing into a touchdown every time he has the ball in his hands.

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The last time Michael Floyd played against the Packers, he torched them for 6 catches and 111 yards on 8 targets.  The Packers’ defense struggles against big, physical receivers, and Floyd is just that.  Floyd should see 7-10 targets and be a big presence in the Cardinals pass game, especially in the red zone where he can out-muscle Green Bay’s corners to go up and get the ball.

TE

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With Gronk being sidelined in practice all week, Greg Olsen seems to be a lock in most lineups.  The Seahawks defense is great, but if there is one area they struggle, it is guarding tight ends where they are 21st in DVP.  Greg Olsen should see plenty of targets from Cam, and I expect Olsen to take full advantage of Seattle’s weakness against tight ends.

FLEX

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Assuming Jeremy Maclin is out, Chris Conley is the ultimate shot-in-the-dark tournament play.  The Chiefs expect Conley to make up for Jeremy Maclin’s absence.  The rookie ran a 4.35 40 yard dash, and damn near jumped out of the stadium with a 45 inch vertical.  Every time he touches the ball, the Patriots will cringe until he is on the ground.  He is an extremely raw player, but one play from this kid could be the difference of $100 and $15,000 in the millionaire maker.

D/ST

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The Steelers offense is completely depleted from injury.  Antonio Brown and DeAngelo Williams are already ruled out for Sunday’s game, and Big Ben is fighting through an AC joint sprain.  The Broncos are number 1 in DVP against opposing QBs, and if Ben can’t throw the ball more than 20 yards downfield or Landry Jones starts, the Broncos should be able to feast.

*All images from http://www.draftkings.com*

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